Market insights

Weekly Market Commentary - August 27, 2010

Global stock markets finish week on a positive note

Stock markets around the world rallied on Friday on revised GDP data and comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke. 

On Friday, the U.S. Commerce Department cut its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates for the second quarter. Second quarter GDP was revised down to 1.6% from 2.4% on an annualized basis, but the reduction in growth was not as severe as originally forecast and markets responded positively.

The GDP report also showed that consumer spending was up in the second quarter on higher electricity and natural gas prices, and that purchases increased at 1.9% from January to March of 2010.

In an anticipated speech, U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke said the Federal Reserve, in light of recent mixed economic reports, would do all it can to support the recovery, including the large-scale purchase of securities if the economy were to deteriorate significantly. In his comments at the annual central bank conference, Bernanke acknowledged the recovery is uneven, but that preconditions for growth in 2011 are in place.

Weekly unemployment claims fell sharply for the first time in a month, and at 473,000 handily beat expectations. Corporate earnings were mixed with CIBC and National Bank beating consensus forecasts, and Bank of Montreal and Royal Bank of Canada missing expectations. Toronto-Dominion Bank and Bank of Nova Scotia report next week.

European markets advanced on Friday on strong earnings results from French bank Credit Agricole, hotelier Accor, and cosmetics company L’Oreal.  Australian-based BHP Billiton doubled profits on a full-year basis.

Also this week in the markets:

  • Existing home sales down 27.2% in July
  • New home sales off by 12.4% in July
  • Median home price up 0.7% y/y
  • Mortgage applications were up 4.9% last week
  • Durable goods orders increased 0.3% in July
  • Canadian retail sales up 0.1% in June

What's ahead next week:

Canada:

  • Industrial production
  • Real GDP
  • Auto sales

U.S.:

  • Consumer confidence
  • ISM index
  • Construction spending
  • National Employment report

This week's market closing values

Level
Change
1-week
YTD
1-year
5-year
EQUITY INDICES
CAD
CAD
CAD
CAD
S&P/TSX 11,879.72 + 157.65 + 1.34% + 1.14% + 8.65% + 2.53%
S&P 500 1,064.59 - 7.10 + 0.05% - 3.53% - 0.18% - 4.87%
DJIA 10,150.65 - 62.97 + 0.09% - 1.64% + 2.42% - 2.94%
FTSE 100 5,201.56 + 6.28 + 0.73% - 6.69% - 1.13% - 5.48%
CAC 40 3,507.44 - 18.68 + 0.49% - 19.92% - 16.98% - 5.92%
DAX 5,951.17 - 53.99 + 0.12% - 11.05% - 6.05% + 2.57%
Nikkei 8,991.06 - 188.32 - 0.88% - 7.48% - 8.89% - 3.86%
Hang Seng 20,597.35 - 384.47 - 1.17% - 5.15% - 1.98% + 3.91%
CURRENCY RETURNS
CAD
Change
       
US$ 1.0527 + 0.0052 + 0.50% - 0.05% - 3.22% - 2.58%
Euro 1.3406 + 0.0091 + 0.68% - 11.13% - 14.05% - 1.88%
Yen 1.2348 + 0.0112 + 0.92% + 9.09% + 6.17% + 2.55%
CANADIAN TREASURIES
Yield
Change
 
COMMODITIES
USD
Change
3-month 0.66 + 0.04   Oil $75.45 + $1.99
5-year 2.15 - 0.04   Gold $1,237.75 + $9.95
10-year 2.87 - 0.05   Natural Gas $3.75 - $0.44

This Market Commentary is published by Investors Group. It represents the views of our Portfolio Managers, and is provided as a general source of information. It is not intended to provide investment advice or as an endorsement of any investment. Some of the securities mentioned may be owned by Investors Group or its mutual funds, or by portfolios managed by our external advisors. Every effort has been made to ensure that the material contained in the commentary is accurate at the time of publication, however, Investors Group, cannot guarantee the accuracy or the completeness of such material and accepts no responsibility for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the information contained herein.

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